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Betting on the Underdog in Esports: Is it Worth it?

Last updated: 16.11.2025
Liam Fletcher
Published by:Liam Fletcher
Betting on the Underdog in Esports: Is it Worth it? image

Esports wagering is one of the most sought-after forms of online betting, with millions of fans eager to test their skills and knowledge on their favourite esports games. One area that sparks curiosity is betting on the underdog teams, teams with less chance of winning. But could this be a better strategy for a higher reward? EsportsRanker provides insights into what an underdog team is, how to approach a good underdog bet in esports and weigh the pros and cons of underdog betting to help you decide whether it’s worth the risk.EsportRanker provides insights into what an underdog team is, how to approach a good underdog bet in esports and weigh the pros and cons of underdog betting to help you decide whether it’s worth the risk.

What is an Underdog in Esports Betting?

In esports betting, the term underdog definition refers to teams or players expected to lose against a stronger opponent. Bookmakers assign higher odds to these teams due to their perceived lower chance of victory. For example, in a League of Legends matchup, a rookie team might face off against a seasoned squad, making the former the underdog.
Underdog Examples in Major Esports

Some common examples of underdog situations in esports include:

  • League of Legends (LoL): A wildcard team making its first appearance at the World Championship.
  • CS:GO (Counter-Strike: Global Offensive): Lesser-known regional teams facing dominant European squads.
  • Dota 2: Teams that barely qualify for tournaments competing against previous champions.

Understanding Odds for Underdog Bets in South Africa

Bookmakers use odds to reflect the probability of an outcome. When you bet on an underdog, higher odds might lead to larger potential payouts. For example, betting R10 on a team with odds of 4.5 could yield R45 if they win. However, such bets carry significant risks, as favourites often dominate matches. South African players looking for higher payouts should consider these risks carefully.

Strategies for Esports Underdog Betting for South African Players

Betting on the underdog in esports requires more than just gut instinct; it demands a calculated and strategic approach. Below are essential esports betting strategies to enhance your chances of success:

Research and Analysis

Success in underdog esports betting starts with thorough research. Analyze esports team performance, recent matches, player statistics, and even map preferences. For instance:

  • Does the underdog team excel in specific game modes or maps?
  • Are they facing a team notorious for inconsistency?

Identifying Valuable Opportunities

Not all underdog esports picks are worth the gamble. Look for factors that can tilt the odds in their favor:

  • Underrated Teams: These are teams with strong strategies but limited exposure.
  • Inconsistent Favorites: Teams with a history of underestimating weaker opponents.
  • Meta Shifts: Sudden game patches can disrupt favorites and favor adaptable underdogs.

Bankroll Management

Betting on underdogs can be unpredictable. To minimize risks while maximizing long-term potential, allocate only a small portion of your bankroll to these bets and avoid chasing losses.

Pros and Cons of Betting on the Underdog

Betting on the underdog is known to have many disadvantages but that is not always the case. Here are some pros and cons to consider when betting on the underdog:

🏆 Pros⚠️ Cons
💰 Higher Potential Returns: The main allure of underdog betting lies in the lucrative payouts. Even a small bet can yield substantial rewards.🎲 High Risk: Most underdogs lose, making it easy to drain your bankroll without proper strategy.
🎉 Excitement: Cheering for the underdog adds thrill to esports viewing.🔄 Unpredictability: External factors like technical issues or roster changes can derail even promising underdogs.
🔍 Opportunities for Insight: Careful analysis can uncover hidden gems, like teams with untapped potential.❤️ Emotional Bias: It’s tempting to bet on your favorite team, even when they’re an underdog, which can cloud judgment.

How do underdog teams perform in esports betting?

Underdog Performance Statistics

Statistically, betting on esports underdogs offers lower success rates. For example, in the 2022 League of Legends World Championship, underdogs won only 18% of matches. However, calculated bets in select situations—such as Fnatic’s unexpected victory over T1 in the group stage—can pay off significantly, especially for esports championships or tournaments.

Real Examples of Underdog Victories in Esports

  1. OG’s Dota 2 Win at The International 2018
    OG entered the tournament as a massive underdog, yet they triumphed over PSG.LGD in the finals, securing one of the biggest prize pools in esports history. Betting on OG in early rounds could have yielded staggering returns.
  2. Cloud9’s CS:GO Major Championship Win (2018)
    Cloud9 overcame tournament favorites FaZe Clan in a thrilling final to claim the ELEAGUE Major title. As a wildcard pick, Cloud9 rewarded bettors handsomely.

Conclusion: Is Betting on Underdogs Good in Esports?

So, is betting on underdogs good in esports? The answer lies in finding the right opportunities and approaching them strategically. Betting on underdogs can be highly rewarding when backed by solid research and analysis. Key factors such as team performance trends, betting odds of esports teams, and contextual insights play a critical role in identifying valuable bets. While it’s not a guaranteed path to success, underdog betting can be a smart move when the potential outweighs the risks. By staying informed and selective, bettors can make the most of these high-stakes opportunities in the world of esports.

FAQ

What does "underdog" mean in esports betting?

In esports betting, an underdog is the team or player expected to lose. Bookmakers in South Africa give underdogs higher odds because they're less likely to win.

Why do bets on underdogs pay out more?

Underdog bets have higher payouts because they're riskier. Since underdogs are less likely to win, bookies offer bigger rewards to encourage these bets.

When are underdog bets a good idea?

Underdogs can be a good bet when the game changes suddenly (meta shifts), when favourites aren't playing well, or when teams are better than people think.

What are the biggest risks when betting on underdogs?

The main risk is that underdogs usually lose. Also, letting your feelings guide your bets and unexpected problems like team changes can make things riskier.

How often do underdogs actually win in big esports tournaments?

Underdogs don't win very often. For example, they only won about 18% of matches at the 2022 League of Legends World Championship. But smart bets can still pay off.

What's good about betting on underdogs?

Betting on underdogs in South Africa can mean bigger wins, more excitement, and finding good opportunities if you do your homework.

Is it worth the risk to bet on underdogs?

Betting on underdogs can be worth it if you plan carefully. Research well, look for good chances, and manage your money wisely to get the best rewards and lower the risks.

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